Books
Two books, before PtahCast
PtahCast's forecasting approach didn't start as a product decision — it started with two books written before any of this was built. If you want the fuller reasoning behind why the product treats estimates the way it does, this is where it comes from.
Probabilistic Delivery
"The Sprint Commitment is the most abused term in modern IT. It treats software delivery as a matter of willpower rather than a statistical probability."
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The Gambler's Fallacy
"Eight people in a room. Every one of them knows, to varying degrees and with varying specificity, that what is written on the screen does not correspond to reality. Nobody says so. The meeting continues. October 14 becomes the plan. Welcome to the casino."
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